Will the #1 show on Netflix have at least 15 million views?

72%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

21%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 24. Aug.This market uses Polymarket's Post Counter and is a yes if that tracker shows Elon Musk (@elonmusk) made strictly fewer than 40 main-feed posts, quote posts, or reposts on X during the inclusive window from 12:00 PM ET on August 20, 2026 through 12:00 PM ET on August 22, 2026. Polymarket's official market for this question was resolved with prices showing 'yes' = 0 and 'no' = 1, which corresponds to Polymarket finding that the "fewer than 40" condition was not met. Because this market follows Polymarket's official resolution and Polymarket recorded that the condition failed, the market resolves to no.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden21%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 79 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Extracted condition: The market resolves YES iff Polymarket's Post Counter/tracker (the mirrored Polymarket question) shows Elon Musk made strictly fewer than 40 main‑feed posts (quotes and reposts count; replies do not unless tracked as main‑feed; deleted posts count only if captured) during the inclusive window 2026-08-20 12:00 PM ET through 2026-08-22 12:00 PM ET. Target window: 2026-08-20 12:00 PM ET through 2026-08-22 12:00 PM ET. Observed data (from supplied Polymarket official market state): the mirrored Polymarket market for that question is marked resolved with outcome prices Yes=0, No=1 (resolution status: resolved). That official Polymarket resolution corresponds to NO (i.e., Polymarket determined the condition “<40 posts” was not met). The rule text directs this market to resolve identically to Polymarket’s official resolution, so this market resolves NO.
Quelle: clutch.vipQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenMusk is unlikely to post fewer than 40 times in that window. Given his prolific tweeting, it seems easy for him to exceed that count in just three days.

72%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

90%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

49%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

85%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

62%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

28%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Cookies auf Clutch
Wir verwenden Cookies, um zu messen, wie Clutch genutzt wird, und um Werbung anzuzeigen. Nichts wird verfolgt, bis du dich entscheidest. Datenschutzrichtlinie