Wird Elon Musk weniger als 40 Mal auf X posten?

Warum: Extracted condition: Elon Musk posts fewer than 40 main-feed posts (originals, quote posts, reposts; replies excluded) on X in the interval 2026-10-01 12:00:00 PM ET (inclusive) through 2026-10-03 12:00:00 PM ET (exclusive). Observations matched (from supplied Polymarket state): the mirrored Polymarket market “Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?” is resolved and closed with outcome prices Yes=0, No=1 (Polymarket's resolved outcome is the side priced 1 → NO). The bucketed markets show the “65-89 tweets” bucket resolved Yes=1 while the <40 and 40-64 buckets resolved No. Comparison: Polymarket's authoritative resolved total falls in the 65–89 range (per supplied data), which is greater than 40, so the condition “fewer than 40” is false. Therefore this market resolves NO.