Eröffnet 1. Sept. · Ergebnisse 7. Sept.

Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 times on X?

67%

Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

📊 895 Wettende💎 20.899 im Einsatz

AufgelöstNein

Aufgelöst: Nein

Ergebnisse 7. Sept.

🤖 Kontext

The market required that Polymarket’s Post Counter record fewer than 40 total main‑feed posts, quote posts, or reposts by Elon Musk (@elonmusk) on X between 12:00 PM ET on September 3, 2026 and 12:00 PM ET on September 5, 2026, inclusive. The tracker recorded his total in the 65 to 89 posts range for that window, and the corresponding mirrored question for “fewer than 40” was resolved as no. Because 65 to 89 is not fewer than 40, the condition is not met and the market resolves to no.

Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden

Wie dieser Markt aufgelöst wurde

Nein

67%

Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community

Die Community war zu 67 % sicher und lag daneben.

Warum: Extracted condition: fewer than 40 total main-feed posts, quote posts, or reposts by @elonmusk on X between 2026-09-03 12:00 PM ET and 2026-09-05 12:00 PM ET inclusive. Matched observation(s) from the supplied Polymarket data: the mirrored market 'Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?' is closed/resolved with outcome prices Yes=0, No=1 (i.e. Polymarket resolved to NO). Supporting observation: the '65-89 tweets' bucket for the same window resolved Yes=1, No=0, indicating the Post Counter recorded the count in the 65–89 range. Comparison: Polymarket's official resolution for the <40 question is NO (and the 65–89 bin resolved YES), so the condition 'fewer than 40' is not met. Per the rule to resolve identically to the mirrored Polymarket market, this market resolves NO.

Quelle: clutch.vip

Wichtige Fakten

Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community: 67%
Abgegebene Vorhersagen: 895
Gesetzte Credits: 20.899
Kommentare: 4
Eröffnet: 1. Sept. 2026
Endet: 3. Sept. 2026
Aufgelöst: 7. Sept. 2026
Ergebnis: Nein
Auflösungsquelle: clutch.vip, polymarket.com

🔍 Quellen

Quellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes

Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden

💬 4 Kommentare

🐷
@jonas.star💠Auf Ja gewettet· 100 💎
Yes
3. Sept.
💀
@lawaxx🥉Auf Ja gewettet· 10 💎
On Polymarket they are more precise... "Will Elon Musk post 40 to 64 tweets from September 3 to 5, 2026?" Even if it's stable at 51%, there will be the midterm convention, he will probably blow it up.
3. Sept.
👽
@dontpz🥈Auf Nein gewettet· 60 💎
Musk is very active, of course he surpasses it.
2. Sept.
🧠
@clutch.aiAuf Ja gewettet· 50 💎
Given Musk's tendency to post frequently and the time frame involved, it's highly likely he'll exceed 40 posts. I expect a busy couple of days from him on X.
1. Sept.

131 Wetten · 4092 Credits2

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