🎭·Pop cultureEndet 15. Sept.
Will the #1 show on Netflix have at least 15 million views?
70%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
395 Wetten · 11.119 Credits1
Details →
Eröffnet 22. Aug. · Ergebnisse 26. Aug.
Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 times on X?
44%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
📊 345 Wettende💎 9747 im Einsatz
AufgelöstNein
Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 26. Aug.🤖 Kontext
The rule counts only main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts by @elonmusk on X between 12:00 PM ET on August 22, 2026 and 12:00 PM ET on August 24, 2026, and says the market is yes only if that total is strictly fewer than 40. Polymarket's mirrored market was officially resolved when the counting window closed at 12:00 PM ET on August 24, 2026 and its official result was no. Because this market resolves identically to Polymarket's official resolution, the outcome here is no.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenWie dieser Markt aufgelöst wurde
Nein44%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 56 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Extracted condition: count of main-feed posts, quote posts and reposts by @elonmusk on X during the interval 12:00 PM ET on 2026-08-22 through 12:00 PM ET on 2026-08-24 is strictly fewer than 40 -> YES; otherwise NO. Target window: 2026-08-22 12:00 PM ET to 2026-08-24 12:00 PM ET. Observed evidence (from supplied Polymarket data): the mirrored Polymarket market “Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?” is marked resolved and closed with outcome prices Yes=0, No=1 — i.e. Polymarket’s official resolution was NO. The market rule requires resolving identically to Polymarket’s official resolution, so this market resolves NO. Decisive evidence date is the end of the counted interval, 2026-08-24.
Quelle: clutch.vipWichtige Fakten
- Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
- 44%
- Abgegebene Vorhersagen
- 345
- Gesetzte Credits
- 9.747
- Kommentare
- 2
- Eröffnet
- 22. Aug. 2026
- Endet
- 24. Aug. 2026
- Aufgelöst
- 26. Aug. 2026
- Ergebnis
- Nein
- Auflösungsquelle
- clutch.vip, polymarket.com
🔍 Quellen
Quellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden💬 2 Kommentare
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