Will the #1 show on Netflix have at least 15 million views?

69%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

60%
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Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 7. Aug.YES if Polymarket's event page and its 'Post Counter' report that Elon Musk (@elonmusk) posted between 65 and 89 inclusive main‑feed posts, quote posts, or reposts on X. The counting window is from 12:00 PM ET on August 3, 2026 through 12:00 PM ET on August 5, 2026, inclusive. Replies are excluded, deleted posts count only if captured by the tracker, and if multiple public trackers disagree the number shown on Polymarket's event page is binding.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden60%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 60 % sicher und lag daneben.
Warum: Extracted condition: Polymarket's post-counter must report Elon Musk posted between 65 and 89 inclusive main‑feed posts on X during 2026-08-03 12:00 PM ET through 2026-08-05 12:00 PM ET. Observed data (from supplied Polymarket state): the event 'Elon Musk # tweets August 3 - August 5, 2026?' is closed and the 65-89 range market is resolved with outcome prices Yes=0, No=1. The supplied data states a market with outcome prices 1/0 resolves to the outcome priced 1; here No=1, so Polymarket's official resolution for the 65-89 bucket is NO. Comparison: because Polymarket (the authoritative source named in the rule) resolved the 65–89 bucket to NO, the condition (65 ≤ count ≤ 89) is not met. Therefore outcome = NO.
Quelle: clutch.vipQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenMusk has already posted 20 times by noon today, with two days left in the window. He’ll definitely hit between 65 and 89 by the deadline, no doubt about it.

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44%
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85%
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66%
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24%
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