Will the #1 show on Netflix have at least 15 million views?

69%
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35%
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Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 9. Aug.YES if, according to the post-counter tracker listed on Polymarket's event page, Elon Musk (@elonmusk) posted between 200 and 219 inclusive main‑feed posts, quote posts, or reposts on X between 12:00 PM ET on July 31, 2026 and 12:00 PM ET on August 7, 2026. Replies are excluded, deleted posts count only if the tracker captured them, and community reposts are not counted, and if multiple public trackers disagree the number shown on Polymarket's event page will be used. Otherwise NO.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden35%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 65 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Extracted condition: According to Polymarket's post-counter tracker, Elon Musk must have posted an integer total between 200 and 219 inclusive (main-feed posts, quote posts, or reposts; replies excluded) during the window 2026-07-31 12:00 PM ET through 2026-08-07 12:00 PM ET. Observed evidence (from the supplied Polymarket market state): the event is closed/resolved; the 180-199 range market resolved YES (Yes=1, No=0) while the 200-219 range market resolved NO (Yes=0, No=1). Polymarket's event-page figure is binding per the market rule; the resolved ranges indicate the tracker placed the total in the 180-199 bracket, not in 200-219. Comparison: 180-199 is outside 200-219, so the condition for YES is not met. Therefore outcome = NO.
Quelle: clutch.vipQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden
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89%
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44%
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85%
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66%
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24%
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