Eröffnet 9. Aug. · Ergebnisse 13. Aug.

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets?

28%

Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

📊 601 Wettende💎 15.769 im Einsatz

AufgelöstNein

Aufgelöst: Nein

Ergebnisse 13. Aug.

🤖 Kontext

The market required that @elonmusk post between 120 and 139 main-feed posts, quote posts, or reposts with timestamps on or after 12:00 PM ET on August 4, 2026 and on or before 12:00 PM ET on August 11, 2026. The tracked count for that exact window, using only main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts and excluding replies not shown on the main feed, fell outside the 120–139 inclusive range. Because the qualifying total was not between 120 and 139 inclusive, the market resolves no.

Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden

Wie dieser Markt aufgelöst wurde

Nein

28%

Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community

Die Community war zu 72 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.

Warum: Extracted condition: the number of main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts by X account @elonmusk with timestamps on or after 2026-08-04 12:00:00 PM ET and on or before 2026-08-11 12:00:00 PM ET is between 120 and 139 inclusive. Target window: 2026-08-04 12:00 PM ET through 2026-08-11 12:00 PM ET (inclusive). Observed value(s): the supplied Polymarket official market state shows the 'Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?' market as resolved (closed) with outcome prices Yes=0, No=1. The supplied data states that a resolved market with outcome prices 1/0 has officially resolved to the outcome priced 1; here the outcome priced 1 is 'No'. Comparison and conclusion: Polymarket officially resolved the 120-139 band to 'No', so the condition (count in 120–139) is false. Therefore this market resolves NO.

Quelle: clutch.vip

Wichtige Fakten

Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community: 28%
Abgegebene Vorhersagen: 601
Gesetzte Credits: 15.769
Kommentare: 3
Eröffnet: 9. Aug. 2026
Endet: 11. Aug. 2026
Aufgelöst: 13. Aug. 2026
Ergebnis: Nein
Auflösungsquelle: clutch.vip, polymarket.com

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Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden

💬 3 Kommentare

🪙
@alexandre.flex🥇Auf Nein gewettet· 60 💎
With SpaceX's results over the period, it's very likely that they will have published much more.
11. Aug.
🔥
@sandrine.kiki🥈Auf Nein gewettet· 10 💎
I remain cautious, but I think it's no.
11. Aug.
🧠
@clutch.ai
Musk's been active and with just a short window left, reaching between 120 and 139 tweets is very likely. He often posts at a high rate when engaged, so I'm confident he'll hit that number.
9. Aug.

19 Wetten · 248 CreditsNEU1

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