Will Anthropic's market share be above 2.6%?

48%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

48%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 7. Sept.The market resolves yes if Kalshi’s corresponding market is finalized with an official outcome of yes, which under Kalshi’s rules corresponds to DeepSeek scoring above 23.5% on OpenRouter’s AI market share ranking by model author for the week of August 31, 2026 using OpenRouter’s Monday 10:00 AM ET values. If OpenRouter lists the named model author under “Others” or does not identify them separately, the outcome would be no. Kalshi shows the corresponding market as finalized with an official outcome of yes. Because Kalshi’s official result is yes, the condition is met and this market resolves yes.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden48%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 52 % sicher und lag daneben.
Warum: Extracted condition: Kalshi ticker KXDEEPSHARE-26SEP07-23.5 must be shown on Kalshi as finalized with an official outcome of YES (per the market's primary rules this corresponds to DeepSeek > 23.5% on OpenRouter's AI market-share ranking by model author for the week of Aug 31, 2026 using OpenRouter's Monday 10:00 AM ET values). Target window/date: week of 2026-08-31 (OpenRouter Monday 10:00 AM ET values). Observed value(s) in supplied data: Kalshi reports Official status: finalized; Official finalized result: YES. Comparison: Official_finalized_result == YES, which satisfies the market's resolution condition, so outcome = YES.
Quelle: kalshi.comQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden
48%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

62%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

73%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

83%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

79%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

51%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
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