Will Anthropic's market share be above 2.6%?

48%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

36%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 31. Aug.The rule said the market is yes if Kalshi finalizes KXTOPMODEL-26AUG31-CLAUM as yes, which by contract means the LM Arena Leaderboard with Remove Style Control enabled lists claude-opus-5-max as the top model on August 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. Kalshi has finalized that market and published the official result as yes. Because Kalshi finalized the market as yes under the contract rule, the market resolves to yes.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden36%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 64 % sicher und lag daneben.
Warum: Extracted condition: Kalshi market KXTOPMODEL-26AUG31-CLAUM must be marked 'finalized' by Kalshi with a YES outcome for the binary 'What will be the top AI model this month? — claude-opus-5-max', which (per the contract) corresponds to the LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control) showing claude-opus-5-max as top-ranked on 2026-08-31 at 10:00 AM ET. Tie-breakers (Rank (UB) → Arena Score → votes → earlier release date) and Kalshi's finalized result govern settlement. Observed data (from supplied Kalshi state): Official status: finalized; Official finalized result: YES. Comparison: the ticker is finalized and the official finalized result is YES, which satisfies the market's resolution condition. Outcome: YES.
Quelle: kalshi.comQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden
48%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

62%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

73%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

83%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

79%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

51%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
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