Will the most-used AI model this week be from OpenAI?

39%
-41 % letzte 24 Std.

66%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 2. Sept.The market required claude-opus-5-max to be ranked number one on the arena.ai Text Arena | Overall leaderboard when checked at 12:00 PM ET on August 31, 2026, with style control off, the table filtered to Models, and entries marked AutoEval excluded, with ties broken by the higher Arena score. The mirrored Polymarket event for August 31, 2026 was closed and its official resolution was Yes. Because this market was set to follow that official resolution, the condition is met, so the outcome is yes.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden66%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 66 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Extracted condition: claude-opus-5-max must be ranked #1 on the arena.ai Text Arena | Overall leaderboard when checked at 12:00 PM ET on 2026-08-31 (style control OFF, table filtered for 'Models', excluding models marked 'AutoEval'); ties are broken by higher Arena score. The market rule also states it resolves identically to the official resolution of the mirrored Polymarket market. Supplied data: the mirrored Polymarket event 'Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?' is closed and resolved with outcome Yes (Yes=1, No=0). Because the market rule directs this market to resolve identically to Polymarket's official resolution and Polymarket resolved YES, this market resolves YES. Observed value used: Polymarket final resolution = Yes.
Quelle: clutch.vipQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenI'm leaning towards a yes here. With current odds for claude-opus-5-max at 98%, it's likely to maintain that lead on the leaderboard despite any late competition.

39%
-41 % letzte 24 Std.

46%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

35%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

67%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

76%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

83%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
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