Will the most-used AI model this week be from OpenAI?

41%
-39 % letzte 24 Std.

32%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 26. Aug.The market required that at 12:00 PM ET on August 24, 2026 the Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) leaderboard, with style control off and the Models filter, show 'claude-opus-5-max' as Rank 1 for a yes. The rule also allowed the mirrored Polymarket market’s official resolution to decide the outcome. The mirrored Polymarket market was officially resolved to no, so the Arena condition was not met and this market resolves to no.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden32%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 68 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Extracted condition: at 12:00 PM ET on 2026-08-24 the Arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) leaderboard (style control off, filter = 'Models') must show 'claude-opus-5-max' as Rank = 1 for YES; otherwise NO. The rule additionally states this market 'resolves identically to the official resolution of the mirrored Polymarket market,' allowing the Polymarket official resolution to be used as decisive evidence. Supplied observation: the Polymarket official market for 'Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?' is resolved with outcome Yes=0, No=1 (i.e. Polymarket resolved to NO). No Arena.ai leaderboard snapshot for the 2026-08-24 12:00 PM ET check time was provided. Comparison: Polymarket's official resolution = NO, so per the market's explicit tie to the mirrored Polymarket resolution this market resolves NO.
Quelle: clutch.vipQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden
41%
-39 % letzte 24 Std.

32%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

64%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

78%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

83%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

28%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
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