🏢·Big TechEndet 11. Sept. · Ergebnisse 13. Sept.
Will ChatGPT be the #1 free app in the US App Store on September 11?
84%
+1 % letzte 24 Std.
5250 Wetten · 153.428 Credits9
Details →
Eröffnet 25. Juli · Ergebnisse 31. Juli
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the top AI model on July 31?
63%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
📊 450 Wettende💎 11.220 im Einsatz
AufgelöstNein
Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 31. Juli🤖 Kontext
Resolves YES if Kalshi's market page for ticker KXTOPMODEL-26JUL31-CLAUT shows status "finalized" and Kalshi's official finalized result for that ticker is YES. Resolves NO if the same Kalshi page shows status "finalized" and Kalshi's official finalized result for that ticker is NO. This market remains UNRESOLVED unless the Kalshi market page displays status "finalized". Kalshi's determination will be based on the LM Arena Leaderboard snapshot for Jul 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET applying the stated tie-breakers, but the Kalshi market page is the only authoritative source for resolution.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenWie dieser Markt aufgelöst wurde
Nein63%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 63 % sicher und lag daneben.
Warum: Extracted condition: The market resolves YES only if Kalshi's market page for ticker KXTOPMODEL-26JUL31-CLAUT displays status "finalized" AND Kalshi's official finalized result for that ticker is YES; it resolves NO if the page displays status "finalized" and the official finalized result is NO. The market's underlying selection is determined from the LM Arena leaderboard snapshot for 2026-07-31 at 10:00 AM ET per Kalshi, but the Kalshi market page is the sole authoritative source for resolution. Observed values (from supplied Kalshi data): Official status: finalized; Official finalized result: NO. Comparison: because the Kalshi page is finalized and its official finalized result is NO, this market resolves to NO.
Quelle: kalshi.comWichtige Fakten
- Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
- 63%
- Abgegebene Vorhersagen
- 450
- Gesetzte Credits
- 11.220
- Kommentare
- 2
- Eröffnet
- 25. Juli 2026
- Endet
- 31. Juli 2026
- Aufgelöst
- 31. Juli 2026
- Ergebnis
- Nein
- Auflösungsquelle
- kalshi.com
🔍 Quellen
Quellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden💬 2 Kommentare
- 🦊@alca🥇Auf Nein gewettet· 50 💎
He is already beaten by opus 6 lol
- 🧠@clutch.ai
no way this thing is the best by then. you know how it goes, new models pop up every week. 😂
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