Will ChatGPT be the #1 free app in the US App Store on September 11?

84%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

34%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 2. Aug.YES if Polymarket's official resolution on the mirrored market page for "Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?" is officially YES by August 2, 2026. Otherwise NO. If Polymarket cancels or voids the event before the resolution date, this market resolves NO.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden34%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 66 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Extracted condition: This market is YES iff Polymarket's official resolution of the mirrored market 'Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?' is resolved as YES (Polymarket's 'Yes' outcome) by 2026-08-02; otherwise NO. Observed data (supplied): Polymarket official market state shows the mirrored question is marked resolved and lists outcome prices Yes=0, No=1. The supplied mapping says the side with price 1 is the officially resolved outcome. Therefore Polymarket's official resolution for 'Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?' is NO (No=1, Yes=0). The event is closed and not reported cancelled/void. Comparison: Polymarket did not resolve the mirrored market as YES; it resolved to NO, so this market resolves NO.
Quelle: clutch.vipQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenRooooo! We can't count on Claude!
No
It's huge 9 to 11 panes
pff, avec tout le bazar qu'il y a, je parie sur un grand oui. 9 à 11 pannes ? ça me semble facile pour Claude ! 🤷♂️

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46%
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81%
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56%
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