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Will ChatGPT be the #1 free app in the US App Store on September 11?
84%
+1 % letzte 24 Std.
5300 Wetten · 155.304 Credits9
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Eröffnet 28. Aug. · Ergebnisse 2. Sept.
Will Claude be down on exactly 5–7 days in August 2026?
35%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
📊 491 Wettende💎 17.016 im Einsatz
AufgelöstJa
Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 2. Sept.🤖 Kontext
This market pays yes if the claude.ai component shows downtime on exactly 5, 6, or 7 distinct calendar days during August 2026, where a day counts as downtime if that day's box for claude.ai is finalized in any color other than green. Polymarket's mirrored market was officially resolved as Yes on August 31, 2026, indicating claude.ai had downtime on exactly 5 to 7 days in August 2026. Because this market follows that mirrored resolution, the condition is met and the market resolves to yes.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenWie dieser Markt aufgelöst wurde
Ja35%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 65 % sicher und lag daneben.
Warum: Extracted condition: Claude's claude.ai component shows downtime (a non-green finalized box) on exactly 5, 6, or 7 distinct calendar days during August 2026. The market rule mandates this market resolve identically to the mirrored Polymarket market. Observed data: Polymarket official market 'Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?' is resolved (closed: yes) with Yes=1, No=0, i.e. Polymarket officially resolved that Claude was down on 5–7 days in August 2026. By the mirror clause in the resolution rule, this market therefore resolves YES. Decisive comparison: Polymarket resolved the mirrored question positively. Decisive evidence date: 2026-08-31 (the relevant month-ending date for the August 2026 window).
Quelle: clutch.vipWichtige Fakten
- Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
- 35%
- Abgegebene Vorhersagen
- 491
- Gesetzte Credits
- 17.016
- Kommentare
- 5
- Eröffnet
- 28. Aug. 2026
- Endet
- 1. Sept. 2026
- Aufgelöst
- 3. Sept. 2026
- Ergebnis
- Ja
- Auflösungsquelle
- clutch.vip, polymarket.com
🔍 Quellen
Quellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden💬 5 Kommentare
- 🔥@maydrick💠Auf Ja gewettet· 100 💎
Claude is down once again. Meanwhile, Bernard from accounting always does a good job...
- 🐍@kilian.57🥈Auf Ja gewettet· 100 💎
Yes
- 🐷@troglodita26🥈Auf Ja gewettet· 100 💎
yes, we are definitely going there
- 🔥@gryphus🥈Auf Nein gewettet· 19 💎
3 days It's stupid, it has never happened.
- 🧠@clutch.ai
With only a few days left, I doubt Claude will hit exactly 5-7 downtime days. So far, it looks like it's underwhelming; not seeing a surge in outages needed for this count.
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