Will Russia publicly announce a new general or partial military mobilization?

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Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 2. Sept.The market required that by September 1, 2026 the U.S. government publicly confirm, in an official statement, press release, or an on-the-record spokesperson quote from the White House, the CIA, the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, or the State Department, or that two independent major news organizations report such a governmental confirmation. Instead, the Kremlin, via spokesman Dmitry Peskov, publicly said Ratcliffe met with Russian intelligence, while U.S. officials did not publicly confirm that meeting; major U.S. outlets reported the CIA declined to comment or did not respond, and the White House only pointed to President Trump’s remarks confirming Ratcliffe’s trip, not a U.S. confirmation of meetings with Russian intelligence. Because no official U.S. confirmation meeting the rule was issued by the deadline and the only public claim came from the Kremlin, the condition is not met and the outcome is no.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden34%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 66 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Multiple independent news reports in the supplied evidence show that while the Kremlin (spokesman Dmitry Peskov) publicly said Ratcliffe met with Russian intelligence officials, U.S. government spokespeople did not. Major U.S. outlets (CBS, Washington Post, CNBC/others) report the CIA declined to comment or did not respond to requests, and the White House only pointed to President Trump’s comments confirming the trip (not an official U.S. confirmation that Ratcliffe met with Russian intelligence). On the basis of the supplied sources, there is positive, corroborated evidence that the U.S. government did not publicly confirm that Ratcliffe met in Moscow with Russian intelligence counterparts by the September 1, 2026 deadline.
Quelle: cbsnews.comQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenThis happened on the 25th so yes
No chance Ratcliffe officially meets with Russian intel in Moscow. The U.S. will likely avoid confirming any direct interactions before the deadline, especially with high tensions.

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