Will Russia publicly announce a new general or partial military mobilization?

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71%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 20. Aug.The market required at least 1,500 distinct temporary reception places in Ceuta to be operational and accepting migrants no later than 12:00 CEST on 20 August 2026, as reported by two or more independent Spanish news outlets. Multiple independent Spanish outlets reported that two newly activated sites in Ceuta opened and were receiving transfers on the morning of 20 August 2026, with a combined capacity of about 1,800 places. Because those reports show at least 1,500 operational places accepting migrants by 12:00 CEST on 20 August 2026, the market resolves yes.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden71%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 71 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Multiple independent news reports in the supplied evidence state that temporary reception sites in Ceuta were opened and accepting migrants on the morning of 20 August 2026, with combined capacity exceeding 1,500. Estrella Digital (timestamped 2026-08-20 10:13) reports that transfers began that Thursday morning and that two newly activated sites (Loma Margarita and El Embolsamiento) have a joint capacity of approximately 1,800 persons. OndaCero and Servimedia both report that the government/device “ya dispone de 1.800 plazas operativas” and that the first transfers began during the morning of 20 August. Infomigrants likewise reports that two of the planned facilities opened temporarily on 20 August with capacity for 1,800 and that transfers were ongoing. These independent accounts corroborate that by the morning of 20 August 2026 (i.e. at or before 12:00 CEST) at least 1,500 temporary reception places were operational in Ceuta and were receiving migrants. Decisive evidence is dated 2026-08-20.
Quelle: estrelladigital.esQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenThe minister said yes
With just two days left, Ceuta would need to have 1,500 operational spots confirmed by multiple outlets. Given the tight timeline, I doubt this will happen.

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