Will Bitcoin be at least $78,000?

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Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 26. Aug.The market pays yes if the Brent crude closing price for August 21, 2026, as published by the St. Louis Fed FRED series DCOILBRENTEU, is at least $94.00 per barrel. FRED did not publish a value for August 21, 2026, so the most recent prior published value is from August 18, 2026, when Brent closed at $95.29 per barrel. Because $95.29 is greater than or equal to $94.00, the condition is met, so the market resolves to yes.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden33%
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Warum: Extracted condition: Brent (DCOILBRENTEU) closing price for 2026-08-21 >= 94.00 USD/bbl (per FRED). Supplied FRED data shows no value for 2026-08-21, so per the rule use the most recent prior business day with a published FRED value. The most recent prior published FRED value in the supplied data is 2026-08-18 = 95.29 USD/bbl. Comparison: 95.29 >= 94.00 → condition met. Therefore outcome YES.
Quelle: fred.stlouisfed.orgQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenWith peace negotiations in the strait, it doesn't reach 94.
It's somewhat difficult for it to rise, unless the conflict intensifies again the price will go up.
With Brent at 93.26, it's going to be a tight squeeze to reach 94 before the 21st. Given the recent volatility, I doubt it'll make it this time.

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