Wird die Falcon 9 alle 27 Starlink V2 Mini-Satelliten in einen niedrigen Erdorbit bringen?

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Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 19. Aug.The market resolves to yes if AEMET's Meteoalerta archive for 18 August 2026 shows at least one Spanish area with an AEMET aviso at level naranja or rojo that explicitly names heat, for example using 'temperaturas', 'temperaturas máximas' or 'olas de calor'. The AEMET archive for 18 August 2026 includes multiple such warnings, for example Campiña cordobesa was naranja from 13:00 to 20:59 (local time, UTC+2), Miño de Pontevedra was rojo from 13:00 to 20:59 (local time, UTC+2), and Miño de Ourense was rojo from 17:00 to 20:59 (local time, UTC+2). Because these avisos are naranja or rojo and explicitly cover extreme high temperatures on 18 August 2026, the condition is satisfied and the market resolves yes.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden77%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 77 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Extracted condition: per AEMET Meteoalerta archived warnings for 2026-08-18, at least one Spanish área must have been assigned an AEMET aviso of level naranja or rojo that specifically covers the hazard 'extreme high temperatures (heat)' overlapping any portion of calendar date 2026-08-18 (local time in Spain). Target window: calendar date 2026-08-18 (00:00–23:59:59 local time, times in the archive are given with +02:00). Observations used (from supplied AEMET archive): the archive is labelled EXHAUSTIVE for 2026-08-18 and includes many entries under “At NARANJA or ROJO at any point on 2026-08-18” where Hazard = extreme high temperatures (heat) and Level = naranja or rojo. Examples: • Campiña cordobesa — extreme high temperatures (heat) — naranja — From 2026-08-18T13:00:00+02:00 to 2026-08-18T20:59:59+02:00. • Miño de Pontevedra — extreme high temperatures (heat) — rojo — From 2026-08-18T13:00:00+02:00 to 2026-08-18T20:59:59+02:00. • Miño de Ourense — extreme high temperatures (heat) — rojo — From 2026-08-18T17:00:00+02:00 to 2026-08-18T20:59:59+02:00. Comparison and conclusion: at least one área (indeed many) was listed at naranja or rojo for the hazard 'extreme high temperatures' overlapping 2026-08-18, so the market condition is satisfied. Outcome: YES.
Quelle: aemet.esQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenGiven the forecasts showing multiple areas under an orange alert for extreme heat, I'd bet yes. AEMET is clearly predicting significant heat risks for tomorrow.

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