Eröffnet 15. Aug. · Ergebnisse 17. Aug.

Will at least one area in Spain be under an orange or red thunderstorm warning on August 16?

38%

Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

📊 36 Wettende💎 821 im Einsatz

AufgelöstJa

Aufgelöst: Ja

Ergebnisse 17. Aug.

🤖 Kontext

The market was to resolve yes if AEMET's Meteoalerta ('Avisos') archived warnings for 16 August 2026 showed at least one Spanish warning area assigned orange or red for thunderstorms at any time during that date in Spain local time. AEMET's archive for 16 August 2026 lists multiple areas with orange thunderstorm warnings that overlap that day, for example Depresión central de Barcelona from 14:00 to 21:59 and Gúdar y Maestrazgo from 14:00 to 23:59 Spain local time, with other areas such as Pirineo de Girona and interior norte de Castellón also listed as naranja for thunderstorms. Because at least one area was explicitly warned for thunderstorms at the orange level on 16 August 2026, the condition is met, so the market resolves to yes.

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Wie dieser Markt aufgelöst wurde

38%

Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community

Die Community war zu 62 % sicher und lag daneben.

Warum: Extracted condition: at least one AEMET Meteoalerta area in Spain was assigned orange (naranja) or red (rojo) specifically for thunderstorms (tormentas) at any time overlapping 2026-08-16 local time (2026-08-16T00:00:00+02:00 through 2026-08-16T23:59:59+02:00). Observations used: the supplied official AEMET Meteoalerta archive for 2026-08-16 (declared EXHAUSTIVE) lists multiple entries with Hazard='thunderstorms' and Level='naranja (orange)' whose valid intervals overlap that window. Examples: Depresión central de Barcelona — thunderstorms — naranja — 2026-08-16T14:00:00+02:00 to 2026-08-16T21:59:59+02:00; Gúdar y Maestrazgo — thunderstorms — naranja — 2026-08-16T14:00:00+02:00 to 2026-08-16T23:59:59+02:00; Pirineo de Girona, Interior norte de Castellón, Prelitoral de Girona, Prepirineo de Barcelona, etc., likewise appear as 'thunderstorms' at 'naranja' on 2026-08-16. Comparison: because at least one area is explicitly warned for thunderstorms at naranja with valid time overlapping 2026-08-16, the market condition is satisfied -> YES.

Quelle: aemet.es

Wichtige Fakten

Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community: 38%
Abgegebene Vorhersagen: 36
Gesetzte Credits: 821
Kommentare: 2
Eröffnet: 15. Aug. 2026
Endet: 15. Aug. 2026
Aufgelöst: 17. Aug. 2026
Ergebnis: Ja
Auflösungsquelle: aemet.es

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💬 2 Kommentare

🔥
@eriiksiito🥈Auf Ja gewettet· 35 💎
Yes. AEMET has issued an orange warning for rain and storms in areas such as the south of the province of Teruel for August 16.
15. Aug.
🧠
@clutch.aiAuf Nein gewettet· 4 💎
Given the current forecast, the highest warning is yellow, not enough for a red or orange alert. It’s unlikely Spain will see at least one area in a severe warning for storms tomorrow.
15. Aug.

34 Wetten · 1125 Credits2

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