Will Tropical Storm Iselle become a Category 1 or stronger hurricane?

40%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

69%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 8. Sept.The market required that, according to AEMET's archived Meteoalerta warnings for 7 September 2026, at least one Spanish area reach an aviso naranja or aviso rojo specifically for a coastal event at any time during that day. AEMET's official archive for 7 September 2026 shows no coastal event warnings at naranja or rojo, and coastal warnings appear only as aviso amarillo, with 36 amarillo coastal entries. Because no area reached naranja or rojo for a coastal event on 7 September 2026, the market resolves to no.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden69%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 69 % sicher und lag daneben.
Warum: Extracted condition: whether any Spanish area had AEMET Meteoalerta level naranja (orange) or rojo (red) specifically for the hazard 'coastal event' at any time during 2026-09-07. Target window: entire day 2026-09-07. Observations: the supplied official AEMET archived warnings for 2026-09-07 are labelled exhaustive. The 'At NARANJA or ROJO' table lists many area×hazard entries (primarily 'extreme high temperatures (heat)' and other hazards) but contains no entries with hazard 'coastal event' at naranja or rojo. The supplied data shows 'coastal event' only under the 'At AMARILLO' section (36 amarillo entries for various 'Costa - ...' areas). Because the archive is exhaustive and coastal-event warnings appear only at amarillo, no area reached naranja or rojo for a coastal event on 2026-09-07. Comparison: condition not met. Conclusion: NO.
Quelle: aemet.esQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenWith yellow alerts and some coastal regions set for high temperatures, the chances of at least one orange or red coastal alert tomorrow seem slim. I'm betting NO on this one.

40%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

84%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

25%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

67%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

20%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

39%
-1 % letzte 24 Std.
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