Will Russia publicly announce a new general or partial military mobilization?

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Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 2. Aug.YES if, on its official website, the Spanish Ministry of Defence publishes an official press release or statement that explicitly says Armed Forces personnel have been deployed to Ceuta to reinforce or support the Guardia Civil no later than August 2. If the Ministry’s official text only refers to 'readiness' or 'available support' without saying personnel are being sent to Ceuta, resolve NO. Resolution source: the official website of the Spanish Ministry of Defence.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden46%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 54 % sicher und lag daneben.
Warum: Multiple independent, credible news outlets contemporaneously reported that Spain deployed or mobilised Armed Forces personnel to support the Guardia Civil in Ceuta during the late-July / early-August 2026 migrant surge. EFE (30 Jul 2026) stated “Las Fuerzas Armadas reforzarán a la Guardia Civil”; Reuters (30 Jul 2026) reported military units were deployed and that troops had arrived to reinforce forces in Ceuta; BBC, Al Jazeera and other outlets likewise reported the armed forces would/ did reinforce the Civil Guard and soldiers were present assisting operations. These independent, dated reports establish that Armed Forces personnel were deployed to Ceuta on or before 2026-08-02.
Quelle: efe.comQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenno way, they're just gonna say they're 'ready' while sipping coffee. no troops are heading there. ☕

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