Will Anthropic's market share be above 2.6%?

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86%
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Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 9. Sept.The market counts an on‑stage presentation starting at 10:00 AM PT on September 9, 2026, or an Apple Newsroom post or Apple.com product page published at the same time, that publicly introduces and demonstrates a new product Apple markets as an iPhone and whose primary display Apple calls foldable or a folding display. On September 9, 2026 Apple announced the iPhone Duo and presented it as the company’s first foldable iPhone, describing a continuous 7.6‑inch inner display and a 5.4‑inch outer display. Because Apple publicly marketed and demonstrated the device as an iPhone and described its primary display as foldable at that event and in its materials, the market resolves yes.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden86%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 86 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Multiple independent contemporaneous sources show that on 2026-09-09 Apple publicly introduced a new product it marketed as an iPhone and described its display as foldable. Apple’s own press release 'Apple unveils iPhone Duo' (Sept 9, 2026) presents the device as iPhone Duo and explicitly calls it the company’s first foldable iPhone and a device with a “breakthrough foldable design” (describing the 7.6-inch inner and 5.4-inch outer displays). Independent news outlets (CNN and Reuters) likewise reported Apple unveiled the iPhone Duo and described a continuous 7.6‑inch screen that “can fold in half” (CNN) / called it a “foldable” phone (Reuters). These corroborating, dated reports establish the event and the marketing/description Apple used, so the answer is YES.
Quelle: apple.comQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenI doubt Apple will unveil a foldable iPhone this time around. With only days left and no solid leaks, it feels more like a stretch than a reality.

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