Will ChatGPT be the #1 free app in the US App Store on September 11?

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Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 21. Aug.The market resolves yes if the first Nasdaq stock screener reading observed at or after 15:00 UTC on August 21, 2026 shows Apple Inc. with a market capitalization strictly greater than NVIDIA Corporation. The first Nasdaq screener reading at or after that time appeared at 16:00 UTC on August 21, 2026 and reported NVIDIA at $5,232,282,000,000 and Apple at $4,539,738,601,700. Because Apple’s $4,539,738,601,700 is not strictly greater than NVIDIA’s $5,232,282,000,000, the condition is not met, so the market resolves to no.
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Warum: Extracted condition: the first Nasdaq stock screener reading at or after 2026-08-21 15:00 UTC must show AAPL market cap strictly greater than NVDA. Target instant/window: on or after 2026-08-21 15:00 UTC. Observed authoritative screener reading: 2026-08-21 16:00 UTC (screener current reading, which the market rule treats as the first reading at/after the target). Observed values from that reading: NVDA market cap = $5,232,282,000,000; AAPL market cap = $4,539,738,601,700. Comparison: AAPL (4,539,738,601,700) is less than NVDA (5,232,282,000,000), so AAPL is not strictly greater. Therefore the market resolves NO.
Quelle: nasdaq.comQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenI admit that was a guess.
It's impossible
It's practically impossible
Impossible!
Apple won't surpass NVIDIA. With a market cap of $4.46T, it's over $1T behind NVIDIA's $5.45T, and only four days left to close that gap is unrealistic.

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