Will Anthropic's market share be above 2.6%?

56%
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54%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 9. Sept.This market pays out yes if Apple publicly announces at its September 2026 iPhone event a hardware product that it identifies at the time as the next Ultra-series Apple Watch, for example by naming it "Apple Watch Ultra 4", and publishes an Apple Newsroom article or Apple Store product page tied to the event. On September 9, 2026 Apple published an Apple Newsroom press release titled "Apple Watch Ultra 4" and the event livestream and official videos presented the device as the Ultra-series successor. Because Apple both announced the hardware at the event and published the tied Newsroom post, the condition is met and the market resolves yes.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden54%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 54 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Apple's own press release dated 2026-09-09 is titled and states that Apple introduced “Apple Watch Ultra 4.” The Apple Event livestream and Apple’s event videos from September 9, 2026, also present the product as Apple Watch Ultra 4 (the Ultra-series successor). These sources together show Apple publicly announced at its September 2026 iPhone event a hardware product it identified at the time as the next Ultra-series Apple Watch.
Quelle: apple.comQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenApple will likely announce a successor to the Ultra at the September event. They've built up too much anticipation, and anything less would disappoint their fans in this competitive market.

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33%
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55%
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76%
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84%
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78%
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