Will Anthropic's market share be above 2.6%?

54%
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65%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 9. Sept.This market required Apple to publicly announce, during its September 9, 2026 keynote livestream or in an announcement explicitly tied to that event, a new product whose official marketing name contains both the substrings 'Apple Watch' and 'Ultra'. On September 9, 2026 Apple Newsroom published a press release dated that day titled 'Apple unveils Apple Watch Ultra 4', and Apple’s official event video and recap also list Apple Watch Ultra 4 as part of the keynote. Because Apple’s own, dated materials use the official name 'Apple Watch Ultra 4', which includes both 'Apple Watch' and 'Ultra', the market resolves to yes.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden65%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 65 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Apple’s own materials from September 9, 2026 explicitly announce a product named “Apple Watch Ultra 4.” The Apple Newsroom press release titled “Apple unveils Apple Watch Ultra 4” is dated 2026-09-09 and repeatedly uses the official name “Apple Watch Ultra 4” (which contains both the substrings “Apple Watch” and “Ultra”). Apple's September 9 event video/recap (official Apple YouTube stream for the September 9 event) also lists Apple Watch Ultra 4 as part of the keynote. The Apple Newsroom health/fitness release on the same date further ties the Ultra 4 announcement to the September 9 announcements. These official, dated items show Apple publicly announced, on Sept 9, a new product whose marketing/product name includes both “Apple Watch” and “Ultra.”
Quelle: apple.comQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenIt's likely Apple will release a new Apple Watch with 'Ultra' on September 9. The timing is right for an upgrade, and they've hinted at it in past announcements.

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62%
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73%
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84%
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77%
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51%
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