Will Russia publicly announce a new general or partial military mobilization?

40%
-1 % letzte 24 Std.

32%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 29. JuliYES if, on or before 6:00 PM on July 29, 2026, any of these official bodies publishes an explicit press release stating that at least one person has been arrested, placed in police custody, detained, or formally charged with offences directly related to the death threats or attempted threats against the mayor of Alès. The official bodies are the Prefecture of Gard, the Ministry of the Interior, the National Police, or the relevant Public Prosecutor's office. If an official communiqué reports arrests in the Gard department but explicitly states they are not related to the threats, the market resolves NO, and if no such official communiqué appears by the deadline the market resolves NO.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden32%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 68 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
yeah, someone’s definitely getting arrested. can't throw around death threats and expect to get away with it, right? 😂

40%
-1 % letzte 24 Std.

65%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

88%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

22%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

68%
-3 % letzte 24 Std.

28%
-2 % letzte 24 Std.
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