Eröffnet 27. Juli · Ergebnisse 30. Juli

Will any municipality in the Community of Madrid be ordered to evacuate?

76%

Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

📊 49 Wettende💎 1144 im Einsatz

AufgelöstJa

Aufgelöst: Ja

Ergebnisse 30. Juli

🤖 Kontext

YES if the Delegación del Gobierno en la Comunidad de Madrid publishes on its official website a press release or emergency bulletin that contains a legally binding mandatory evacuation order for any municipality within the administrative limits of the Comunidad de Madrid on or before July 30, 2026. The order must use clearly mandatory wording such as "evacuación obligatoria", "orden de desalojo", "desalojo inmediato" or equivalent. Voluntary advisories, shelter-in-place recommendations, voluntary relocation notices, and road or infrastructure closures that do not name a municipality or do not use mandatory evacuation wording do not qualify.

Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden

Wie dieser Markt aufgelöst wurde

76%

Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community

Die Community war zu 76 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.

Warum: Multiple independent items in the provided evidence unambiguously report formal evacuation orders affecting municipalities in the Madrid area. France24 (AFP, 2026-07-29) states Spain’s interior ministry announced the end of “evacuation orders” for 15 municipalities west of Madrid and describes evacuated villages such as Navas del Rey. The EFE report (2026-07-26) records tens of thousands “evacuados” or confined in Ávila, Madrid and Toledo. Airbnb’s Spanish press release (distributed via WebWire) explicitly refers to residents in a “orden de evacuación obligatoria” / “mandatory evacuation zone” as eligible for emergency housing. Taken together these independent sources show that legally binding mandatory evacuation orders were issued for at least some municipalities within the Comunidad de Madrid on or before 2026-07-30.

Quelle: efe.com