Will Tropical Storm Iselle become a Category 1 or stronger hurricane?

40%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

55%
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Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 8. Aug.YES if, no later than August 7, 2026, a state or municipal government in Sinaloa publishes a public, official evacuation order instructing residents of a named municipality or part of a municipality to evacuate (using wording such as “evacuate”, “evacuation”, or “evacuation order”), or publishes a formal announcement ordering suspension or closure of in-person classes for all schools in any named municipality for at least one scheduled school day that explicitly cites rainfall, flooding, or storm impacts as the reason. Preferred evidence is the issuing authority’s official press release or website bulletin (state or municipal Protección Civil, government, or education authority). If not available there, corroboration by at least two independent reputable Mexican news outlets reporting the official order suffices. Social media posts count only if they come from an official government account and are reproduced on the issuing authority’s official site or reported by independent outlets. Advisory recommendations to evacuate, voluntary shelter openings, or closure announcements that do not explicitly cite weather or flooding do NOT count.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden55%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 55 % sicher und lag daneben.
Given the current forecast and the approaching deadline, it's likely we'll see an official evacuation order or class closures in Sinaloa. The conditions fit the criteria well.

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84%
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24%
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63%
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20%
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39%
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