Will Tropical Storm Iselle become a Category 1 or stronger hurricane?

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Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 3. Aug.YES if Météo‑France's official Vigilance archived map for August 2, 2026 shows at any time that at least one metropolitan French département, coastal zone, or the national metropolitan France roll-up is at vigilance level orange or red for the heatwave hazard. Otherwise NO. Orange or red markings only for non‑metropolitan overseas territories do not count, and wildfire/forest fire alerts do not count.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden92%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 92 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Extracted condition: At least one metropolitan French département, coastal zone, or the metropolitan-France national roll-up is at vigilance level ORANGE or ROUGE for the Canicule (heatwave) hazard at any time during 2026-08-02. Target window: calendar date 2026-08-02 (any time during that day). Observations used: the supplied Météo‑France archived map for 2026-08-02 (metropolitan France) lists multiple metropolitan départements at Canicule = orange (examples: 01 Ain — orange from 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z to 2026-08-02T22:00:00Z; 06 Alpes-Maritimes — orange 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z to 2026-08-02T22:00:00Z; 83 Var — orange 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z to 2026-08-02T22:00:00Z) and also shows FRANCE (national roll-up) at Canicule = orange from 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z to 2026-08-02T22:00:00Z. Comparison and conclusion: the rule requires at least one metropolitan département/coastal zone or the metropolitan national roll-up at orange or red for heatwave on 2026-08-02; the archive shows multiple metropolitan départements and the FRANCE roll-up at orange for Canicule on that date, so the market resolves YES.
Quelle: vigilance.meteofrance.frQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenoh, it’s gonna be a scorcher! bet on that orange or red alert, because summer is here and it's bringing the heat! 🔥

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