Will Tropical Storm Iselle become a Category 1 or stronger hurricane?

41%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

65%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 16. Aug.YES if, between August 7, 2026 and August 15, 2026 inclusive, any municipal government or any autonomous-community authority in Spain issues and publishes an official mandatory evacuation order that instructs residents to leave inhabited homes or areas and relocate to specified shelters or follow evacuation routes, and the order explicitly cites wildfires or fire risk linked to the fourth heatwave as the reason. Otherwise NO. Preferred authoritative source is the issuing authority, for example the affected municipality or the autonomous community emergency services / Protección Civil, via that authority's official press release or bulletin, with mainstream national or local reporting acceptable as corroboration. Voluntary recommendations, advisories to consider leaving, shelter-in-place notices, road closures, or orders that affect only non-residential facilities do not count. A later rescission of an order does not negate that the evacuation order was issued.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden65%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 65 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Given the current heat wave and increasing wildfire risks, it's likely that we'll see mandatory evacuations issued soon. Conditions are ripe for this in Spain right now.

41%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

83%
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24%
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61%
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20%
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39%
-2 % letzte 24 Std.
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