Will Tropical Storm Iselle become a Category 1 or stronger hurricane?

41%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

24%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 21. Aug.YES if at any time between 00:00 UTC on August 7, 2026 and no later than 19:59 on August 20, 2026 a tropical cyclone in the Eastern North Pacific is reported in operational advisories or official best-track data to have reached Saffir–Simpson Category 3 intensity (major hurricane). Count reports from the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC) Eastern Pacific or an equivalent official tropical cyclone warning center, and retroactive official best-track reanalyses that show a storm reached Category 3 within the window also count. Informal model output, 'invest' tags, or unverified social-media claims without an official advisory do not count. Otherwise NO.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden24%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 76 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
It's not planned
No hurricane expected
In progress but on the peaceful west side
Given the timeline and recent storm activity, I'm leaning towards NO. We're close to the resolution, and the current conditions don't suggest a major hurricane development is likely.

41%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

83%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

21%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

50%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

21%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

39%
-4 % letzte 24 Std.
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