Will Russia publicly announce a new general or partial military mobilization?

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77%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 21. Aug.The market counts as yes if, by 21 August 2026, the Constitutional Council publishes a decision that declares one or more articles of the law adopted on 21 July 2026 unconstitutional or otherwise prevents their promulgation. On 14 August 2026 the Constitutional Council published a decision that struck down Article 1 of the law adopted on 21 July 2026, finding that the provision was disproportionate for freedom of expression and lacked required privacy and age‑verification safeguards, and removing that operative article so it could not enter into force as adopted. Because the Council annulled the contested article before 21 August 2026, the market resolves yes.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden77%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 77 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: The supplied evidence includes the Conseil constitutionnel’s own decision page (Decision No. 2026-911 DC) and multiple independent news reports (e.g. Reuters, Le Monde) showing that on 14 August 2026 the Constitutional Council struck down/censured the law’s key provision (Article 1 / article 1er) of the law adopted 21 July 2026 prohibiting social‑media access for under‑15s. The decision found the contested provision disproportionate with respect to freedom of expression and lacking required privacy/age‑verification safeguards, and thus removed/annulled that operative article so it could not enter into force as adopted.
Quelle: conseil-constitutionnel.frQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenYes
🛜
It is already the case
It's done. And it's a shame given the damage social networks do to the brains of the youngest. The Chinese and the creators of these networks prohibit them for their own children, ask yourself why... No need to wage war on us to defeat us...
And I just saw that the law was rejected by the constitutional council😭

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