Will Tropical Storm Iselle become a Category 1 or stronger hurricane?

37%
-12 % letzte 24 Std.

66%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 3. Sept.To resolve as yes, the rule requires that AEMET's Meteoalerta 'Avisos' archive for 2 September 2026 shows at least one Spanish area with an 'aviso nivel naranja' or 'aviso nivel rojo' for the hazard 'extreme high temperatures (heat)' at any time between 00:00 and 23:59:59 CEST on 2 September 2026. AEMET's archive for that date lists multiple 'naranja' warnings for the 'extreme high temperatures (heat)' hazard, for example Campiña cordobesa, Campiña sevillana and Morena y Condado, each from 13:00 CEST to 20:59:59 CEST on 2 September 2026. Because at least one named area had an aviso nivel naranja for that hazard during the day, the market resolves to yes.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden66%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 66 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Extracted condition: at least one AEMET-named Spanish área must have an aviso nivel naranja or rojo for the hazard "extreme high temperatures (heat)" at any time during local date 2026-09-02 (00:00:00–23:59:59 CEST, UTC+02:00). Observations used: the supplied AEMET Meteoalerta archive for 2026-09-02. The archive lists multiple naranja (orange) warnings for the hazard "extreme high temperatures (heat)" on 2026-09-02, for example: Campiña cordobesa — naranja from 2026-09-02T13:00:00+02:00 to 2026-09-02T20:59:59+02:00; Campiña sevillana — naranja from 2026-09-02T13:00:00+02:00 to 2026-09-02T20:59:59+02:00; Morena y Condado — naranja from 2026-09-02T13:00:00+02:00 to 2026-09-02T20:59:59+02:00. These intervals fall within the market's 00:00–23:59:59 CEST window on 2026-09-02. Comparison: condition satisfied because at least one area (several) had an aviso nivel naranja for the named hazard during the target day.
Quelle: aemet.esQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenIt won't happen. AEMET's forecast only shows yellow warnings for extreme heat, so expect a calm day without orange or red alerts tomorrow.

37%
-12 % letzte 24 Std.

19%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

60%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

85%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

25%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

63%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Cookies auf Clutch
Wir verwenden Cookies, um zu messen, wie Clutch genutzt wird, und um Werbung anzuzeigen. Nichts wird verfolgt, bis du dich entscheidest. Datenschutzrichtlinie