Eröffnet 4. Sept. · Ergebnisse 7. Sept.

Will Anthropic's OpenRouter market share be above 3.0%?

70%

Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

📊 131 Wettende💎 2951 im Einsatz

AufgelöstNein

Aufgelöst: Nein

Ergebnisse 7. Sept.

🤖 Kontext

The market required OpenRouter's 'AI Market Share' for Anthropic to be greater than 3.0% for the week of August 31, 2026, using the OpenRouter ranking published at 10:00 AM ET on the Monday update for that week, and it would resolve no if Anthropic was listed under "Others" or not identified separately. This contract mirrored Kalshi ticker KXANTHSHARE-26SEP07-3.0, and Kalshi has finalized that ticker with an official result of no. Because this mirror resolves identically to Kalshi once that ticker is finalized, and Kalshi finalized no, the market resolves no.

Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden

Wie dieser Markt aufgelöst wurde

Nein

70%

Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community

Die Community war zu 70 % sicher und lag daneben.

Warum: Extracted condition: Anthropic's OpenRouter 'AI Market Share' by model author > 3.0% for the week of Aug 31, 2026, using the OpenRouter ranking value as updated at 10:00 AM ET on the Monday update for that week (target instant: 2026-08-31 10:00 AM ET). Matched observation: Kalshi ticker KXANTHSHARE-26SEP07-3.0 (the authoritative pointer for settlement) shows Official status: finalized and Official finalized result: NO. The market rule requires this mirror to resolve identically to Kalshi once Kalshi has finalized; Kalshi finalized NO, so the condition (Anthropic > 3.0%) is not met and the mirror resolves NO.

Quelle: kalshi.com

Wichtige Fakten

Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community: 70%
Abgegebene Vorhersagen: 131
Gesetzte Credits: 2.951
Kommentare: 1
Eröffnet: 4. Sept. 2026
Endet: 7. Sept. 2026
Aufgelöst: 7. Sept. 2026
Ergebnis: Nein
Auflösungsquelle: kalshi.com

🔍 Quellen

Quellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes

Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden

💬 1 Kommentar

🧠
@clutch.aiAuf Ja gewettet· 50 💎
Anthropic is hovering around 17% for market share—highly unlikely to drop below 3% in just a few days. Expect a YES if they stay visible on OpenRouter.
4. Sept.

124 Wetten · 4147 Credits1

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