Will Anthropic's market share be above 2.6%?

48%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

90%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 9. Sept.The market resolves to yes if, during Apple’s September 9, 2026 event or in an Apple Newsroom post or press release published at the same time, Apple officially introduces a watch that it names "Apple Watch Ultra 4" or explicitly calls "the fourth‑generation Apple Watch Ultra." Apple’s official Newsroom press release for September 9, 2026 is titled "Apple unveils Apple Watch Ultra 4" and states that Apple introduced the Apple Watch Ultra 4, and the event livestream and transcript also refer to the product as "Apple Watch Ultra 4." Because Apple used that exact name in its Newsroom release and in the event presentation, the condition is met and the market resolves to yes.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden90%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 90 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Apple’s official Newsroom press release for September 9, 2026 is titled “Apple unveils Apple Watch Ultra 4” and states “Apple today introduced Apple Watch Ultra 4…”, and the Apple event livestream/transcript also refers to “Apple Watch Ultra 4.” These supplied sources explicitly show Apple introduced and named the product “Apple Watch Ultra 4” during the September 9, 2026 event.
Quelle: apple.comQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenI’m betting on a yes here. Apple tends to be predictable with naming conventions, and given the timeline, an 'Ultra 4' seems likely at their event.

48%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

62%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

73%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

83%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

79%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

51%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
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