Will Russia publicly announce a new general or partial military mobilization?

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Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 20. Aug.The market required that by 12:00 on 20 August 2026 at least two independent reputable news outlets report that the Ayuntamiento de Málaga or the relevant Andalusian health or public safety authority has formally announced bathing is permitted at each of these six beaches: Campo de Golf‑San Julián, Guadalmar, La Misericordia, Sacaba, San Andrés and El Palo. Sur in English and the Olive Press published reports on 18 and 19 August 2026 saying Campo de Golf‑San Julián and El Palo were reopened to bathing on 18 August and that Guadalmar, La Misericordia, Sacaba and San Andrés were reopened on the afternoon of 19 August 2026. Because two independent outlets reported that the authorities had lifted the closures for all six beaches before 12:00 on 20 August 2026, the condition is met, outcome: yes.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden30%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 70 % sicher und lag daneben.
Warum: 1) Premise (Sur in English, 2026-08-18; Olive Press, 2026-08-18): Campo de Golf–San Julián and El Palo were reopened to bathing on Tuesday, while Guadalmar, La Misericordia, Sacaba and San Andrés remained closed that day (sources: surinenglish.com; theolivepress.es/…/malaga-beaches-reopen-bacteria-scar). Inference: Two of the six listed beaches had their red flags removed by 2026-08-18. 2) Premise (Olive Press, 2026-08-19): The final four beaches — Guadalmar, Sacaba, Misericordia and San Andrés — were reopened on Wednesday afternoon; the article also reiterates that Campo de Golf–San Julián and El Palo had already reopened on Tuesday. Inference: As of the afternoon of 2026-08-19, bathing was permitted at all six named beaches. 3) Logic: If all six were reopened on 2026-08-19, then by 12:00 on 2026-08-20 the condition “has bathing been permitted at each beach” is satisfied. Conclusion: YES.
Quelle: surinenglish.comQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenWith only a few days left and no formal announcements yet, the chances seem slim. It’s unlikely that all six beaches will reopen by the deadline.

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