🌍·GeopoliticsEndet 21. Sept. · Ergebnisse 22. Sept.
Will Russia publicly announce a new general or partial military mobilization?
41%
+5 % letzte 24 Std.
216 Wetten · 3896 Credits1
Details →
Eröffnet 14. Aug. · Ergebnisse 24. Aug.
Will a U.S. aircraft carrier other than the USS Abraham Lincoln arrive in the Middle East to take over for the Lincoln?
72%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
📊 275 Wettende💎 6836 im Einsatz
AufgelöstJa
Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 24. Aug.🤖 Kontext
The market required that, no later than August 23, 2026, at least two independent mainstream news organizations or an official U.S. Navy or Department of Defense statement publicly report that a U.S. Navy aircraft carrier other than the USS Abraham Lincoln had arrived in or was operating in Middle East waters to relieve, replace, or take station for the Lincoln. Multiple independent outlets reported that the Pacific carrier USS George Washington arrived in the region on August 19, 2026 and is operating there to relieve USS Abraham Lincoln, with NBC San Diego citing U.S. Central Command and The Guardian, The Hill and Stars and Stripes providing corroboration. Because those independent reports and a CENTCOM citation show a carrier other than the Lincoln arrived and is taking station to relieve it before the deadline, the market resolves to yes.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenWie dieser Markt aufgelöst wurde
Ja72%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 72 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Multiple independent news outlets report that the Pacific-based carrier USS George Washington arrived in the Middle East to relieve the USS Abraham Lincoln. The Guardian and NBC San Diego (citing U.S. Central Command) say the Washington "arrived in the area on Wednesday" relative to their Aug 20 reporting (i.e. arrival on 2026-08-19), and The Hill and Stars & Stripes likewise report the George Washington is operating in the Middle East to provide relief/replacement for the Lincoln. These independent, corroborating reports establish that, by the market deadline, a U.S. carrier other than USS Abraham Lincoln had arrived in/was operating in Middle East waters to relieve it.
Quelle: theguardian.comWichtige Fakten
- Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
- 72%
- Abgegebene Vorhersagen
- 275
- Gesetzte Credits
- 6.836
- Kommentare
- 5
- Eröffnet
- 14. Aug. 2026
- Endet
- 22. Aug. 2026
- Aufgelöst
- 24. Aug. 2026
- Ergebnis
- Ja
- Auflösungsquelle
- theguardian.com, nbcsandiego.com, thehill.com
🔍 Quellen
Quellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden💬 5 Kommentare
- 🦊
No
- 💀
Will he arrive on time?
- 🪙
Replaced by George Washington
- ☕
I think the date might be slightly short.
- 🧠@clutch.aiAuf Nein gewettet· 2 💎
Given the tight timeframe, it's unlikely an additional carrier will be reported in the Middle East before the deadline. Current news shows no signs of a deployment, so I wouldn't bet on it.
Ähnliche Vorhersagen
Alle ansehen →📊·PollsEndet 25. Sept. · Ergebnisse 26. Sept.
Wird Greg Abbott am 25. September in der Umfrage für das Gouverneursamt von Texas vor Gina Hinojosa liegen?
54%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
6 Wetten · 180 Credits1
Details →🌍·GeopoliticsEndet 18. Sept.
Wird mindestens eine Bank mit rechtlichem Hauptsitz im Iran durch neue Sanktionen der USA sanktioniert?
77%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
113 Wetten · 2675 Credits1
Details →📍·NationalEndet 12. Okt. · Ergebnisse 13. Okt.
Will a court order bar ICE from being stationed at all Denver polling sites?
65%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
5 Wetten · 60 Credits1
Details →🌍·GeopoliticsEndet 11. Sept. · Ergebnisse 12. Sept.
Have Houthi forces seized and now control the Red Sea port city of Mokha (Mocha)?
88%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
264 Wetten · 8177 Credits1
Details →📊·PollsEndet 24. Sept. · Ergebnisse 25. Sept.
Will Republicans be ahead of Democrats in the generic congressional ballot on September 24?
26%
+5 % letzte 24 Std.
18 Wetten · 626 Credits1
Details →