Will Tropical Storm Iselle become a Category 1 or stronger hurricane?

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28%
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Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 31. Aug.YES if, for at least one event with a named French location (department or commune) whose local date/time falls between 00:00 on 28 August 2026 and 23:59:59 on 30 August 2026 Central European Summer Time (CEST) inclusive, one of the following publishes an explicit statement that a tornado occurred: Météo‑France (post‑event bulletin or observation page), the relevant departmental préfecture, or an official emergency services agency (SDIS). YES is also valid if at least two independent major French news organisations publish unambiguous reports stating "tornade" or "phénomène tourbillonnaire" for that named location and local date/time. Reports consisting only of unverified social media posts or single witness videos without follow‑up by those official or major media sources do not count. Otherwise NO.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden28%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 72 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
No chance of a tornado being officially reported in France this weekend. Current weather conditions don't support it, and there's no indication from Météo-France that anything's brewing.

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91%
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22%
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50%
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21%
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39%
-7 % letzte 24 Std.
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