Will Russia publicly announce a new general or partial military mobilization?

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Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 7. Sept.The market required that, by September 7, 2026, the Assemblée nationale's Conférence des présidents formally decide, by vote or by an official published decision recorded in conference minutes or parliamentary documents, to create a 'commission spéciale' whose mandate explicitly includes preparing the examination of the named proposition de loi. The Assemblée nationale's official commission list shows an active commission spéciale explicitly charged with examining the proposition de loi addressing sexual and sexist violence against women and children, and the Assembly's public agenda records that this commission had a meeting scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 3:00 p.m., while independent outlets (LCP and TV5Monde/AFP) reported that the Conférence des présidents created the commission and that it began work in early September. Those official listings and independent reports show the conference had formally created a commission with the required mandate by September 7, 2026, so the outcome is yes.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden71%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 71 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: The official Assemblée nationale site lists an active "Commission spéciale" explicitly "chargée d’examiner la proposition de loi apportant une réponse intégrale au phénomène des violences sexuelles et sexistes contre les femmes et les enfants" (Assemblée – Commissions spéciales page). The Assembly's public agenda shows that this commission was scheduled to meet on 2026-09-07 (15:00). Independent press reports (LCP; TV5Monde/AFP) state that the Conférence des présidents would create the commission to prepare the examination of the named proposition de loi and that the commission began work in early September. Taken together, the official Assembly listing and the independent reports corroborate that, by 2026-09-07, the Conférence des présidents had (by official decision) created a commission spéciale whose mandate explicitly includes preparing the examination of the cited proposition de loi.
Quelle: assemblee-nationale.frQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenGiven the timeline, it's unlikely the assembly will create a special commission in time. With just two weeks left, and no concrete moves reported yet, I’d bet against it.

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