Wird Kylian Mbappé den Ballon d'Or 2026 gewinnen?

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-7 % letzte 24 Std.

84%
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Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 8. Sept.The market pays yes if, when the US Open men's singles semifinalists are determined, at least one of the four semifinalists is listed with nationality Spain (ESP) in the official US Open men's singles draw and results, with players who advance by walkover or retirement counting, and it pays no if the tournament is cancelled before semifinalists are decided. Contemporaneous reports show the four men's singles semifinalists were Frances Tiafoe (USA), Ben Shelton (USA), Alexander Zverev (GER) and Karen Khachanov (RUS), with the last quarterfinals finishing on September 9, 2026 and Ben Shelton defeating Carlos Alcaraz to reach the semis. Because none of those four is listed with nationality Spain (ESP) in the official results, the market resolves to no.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden84%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 84 % sicher und lag daneben.
Warum: Multiple independent, contemporaneous reports show the four men's singles semifinalists were Frances Tiafoe (USA), Ben Shelton (USA), Alexander Zverev (GER) and Karen Khachanov (RUS). US Open match reporting documents Ben Shelton defeating Carlos Alcaraz (the sole Spanish quarterfinalist) to advance to the semifinals, and the US Open completed-matches scoreboard records Alexander Zverev and Karen Khachanov winning their quarterfinals and thus reaching the semifinals. Independent outlets (ABC News, Olympics.com) corroborate the all‑American semifinal of Tiafoe vs. Shelton. Because none of the four semifinalists listed in these sources is Spanish, the answer is NO. The decisive quarterfinals (the last of which finished in the early hours) concluded on 2026-09-09.
Quelle: usopen.orgQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
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