Will Russia publicly announce a new general or partial military mobilization?

41%
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76%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 30. Aug.The rule required that by August 29, 2026 at least two independent major Spanish news outlets report a public authority opened, inaugurated, put into operation, or formally designated an official migrant reception centre or reception space inside the municipality of Ceuta. Independent outlets meet that test: Reuters reported on August 18 the migration minister said temporary reception centres with about 1,500 further places were being set up, AP and Le Monde reported on August 20 that the government had announced or secured space for roughly 1,800 migrants and that people were being moved into makeshift shelters, and EFE reported on August 22 that the government had enabled new temporary spaces in Ceuta including industrial warehouses at El Tarajal. Because multiple independent major outlets reported that public authorities had opened or formally designated temporary reception spaces in Ceuta before August 29, 2026, the outcome is yes.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden76%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 76 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Multiple independent, credible news outlets report that Spanish and Ceuta authorities established and put into operation temporary migrant reception spaces in Ceuta in mid‑late August 2026. Reuters (Aug 18) reported the migration minister saying temporary reception centres with 1,500 further places were being set up; AP (carried by CTV/ABC, Aug 20) and Le Monde (Aug 20) report the government announced/secured space for roughly 1,800 migrants (parking lot, military facility) and that migrants were being moved into makeshift shelters; and EFE (Aug 22) states the government "ha habilitado nuevos espacios temporales" in Ceuta (including industrial naves at El Tarajal and other devices). These independent sources corroborate that a public authority opened, put into operation, or formally designated official reception/shelter spaces within Ceuta prior to 2026-08-29. Decisive report date (announcement/operation reported by multiple outlets): 2026-08-20.
Quelle: efe.comQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenGiven the timeline and the need for multiple reputable outlets to confirm, I doubt this will happen. There's little time left, and previous reports haven't shown strong indications of official openings.

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76%
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65%
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88%
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