Eröffnet 28. Juli · Ergebnisse 1. Aug.

Will a magnitude 5.5 or greater earthquake strike Indonesia before August 1, 2026?

20%

Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

📊 527 Wettende💎 14.004 im Einsatz

AufgelöstNein

Aufgelöst: Nein

Ergebnisse 1. Aug.

🤖 Kontext

YES if the U.S. Geological Survey earthquake catalog lists one or more earthquakes with a USGS‑reported magnitude of at least 5.5, with event time on or after July 29, 2026 00:00 UTC and before August 1, 2026 00:00 UTC, and with epicenter inside the market's specified bounding box in Indonesia. Events with time exactly at the start or with epicenter exactly on the bounding‑box edge count as inside, events exactly at August 1, 2026 00:00 UTC do not. The market resolves according to the U.S. Geological Survey earthquake catalog. If the USGS catalog is temporarily unreachable at resolution time, the resolver will wait and apply the same rule once it is reachable.

Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden

Wie dieser Markt aufgelöst wurde

Nein

20%

Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community

Die Community war zu 80 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.

Warum: Extracted condition: the USGS catalog (exact query URL) must list >=1 earthquake with USGS 'mag' >= 5.5, event time >= 2026-07-29T00:00:00+00:00 and < 2026-08-01T00:00:00+00:00, and epicenter within bounding box minlatitude=-11, maxlatitude=6, minlongitude=95, maxlongitude=141 (start and bbox edges inclusive; end time exclusive). Observed value: the exact query returned '0 matching earthquake(s)' (no matching earthquakes). Comparison: 0 matches < 1 required, so the condition was not met. The USGS catalog returned a result (was reachable) and the resolution window has passed, so the market resolves NO.

Quelle: earthquake.usgs.gov