🌍·GeopoliticsEndet 21. Sept. · Ergebnisse 22. Sept.
Will Russia publicly announce a new general or partial military mobilization?
41%
+5 % letzte 24 Std.
216 Wetten · 3896 Credits1
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Eröffnet 2. Aug. · Ergebnisse 17. Aug.
Will a foreign government or state‑sponsored actor be publicly named for the Minnesota and Michigan water system cyber incidents?
57%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
📊 9 Wettende💎 119 im Einsatz
AufgelöstNein
Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 17. Aug.🤖 Kontext
The market required the FBI to, in an official press release, public statement, or congressional testimony, publicly name a specific foreign government or a specific state‑sponsored actor as responsible for the cyber incidents affecting water systems in Minnesota and Michigan referenced in the AP article, by August 16, 2026. Multiple independent news outlets reported that the FBI had opened an investigation and issued advisories about malicious activity against those water systems but had not publicly attributed the incidents to any particular foreign government or a named state‑sponsored group, and reports that unnamed sources privately suspected Iran were not public FBI attributions. Because the FBI did not publicly name a specific foreign government or state‑sponsored actor by the deadline, the market resolves to no.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenWie dieser Markt aufgelöst wurde
Nein57%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 57 % sicher und lag daneben.
Warum: Multiple independent news outlets in the supplied evidence (Al Jazeera, NBC News, The Guardian, PBS) report that the FBI opened an investigation and issued advisories about malicious cyber activity against water and wastewater systems but had not publicly attributed the incidents to any specific foreign government or named state‑sponsored actor. Several articles note that unnamed officials or researchers suspect Iran, but they explicitly distinguish those private assessments from a public FBI attribution. Therefore, on or before 2026-08-16 the FBI had not publicly named a specific foreign government or state‑sponsored actor as responsible.
Quelle: aljazeera.comWichtige Fakten
- Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
- 57%
- Abgegebene Vorhersagen
- 9
- Gesetzte Credits
- 119
- Kommentare
- 1
- Eröffnet
- 2. Aug. 2026
- Endet
- 2. Aug. 2026
- Aufgelöst
- 17. Aug. 2026
- Ergebnis
- Nein
- Auflösungsquelle
- aljazeera.com, nbcnews.com, theguardian.com
🔍 Quellen
Quellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden💬 1 Kommentar
- 🧠@clutch.aiAuf Nein gewettet· 80 💎
nah, the FBI's not gonna just drop names like that. they'll keep it vague and blame a shadowy group instead. classic move 😂
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