Will Anthropic's market share be above 2.6%?

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Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 13. Aug.The market resolves to yes if Google publicly announces, no later than August 12, 2026, at least one consumer product whose official product name contains the numeral sequence 'Pixel 11' in an official Google product announcement, a Google Store listing, or during a Google-hosted launch livestream. On August 12, 2026 Google published an official product blog titled "The Pixel 11 series" that names Pixel 11, Pixel 11 Pro, and Pixel 11 Pro XL, and major tech outlets reported the lineup and preorders that day. Because that official announcement names products with 'Pixel 11' in their official names, the condition is met and the market resolves yes.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden45%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 55 % sicher und lag daneben.
Warum: Multiple independent, credible sources in the supplied evidence report that Google publicly unveiled the Pixel 11 series on August 12, 2026. Google’s official product blog post is titled “The Pixel 11 series…” and explicitly names Pixel 11 / Pixel 11 Pro / Pixel 11 Pro XL; independent outlets (TechCrunch, The Verge, Ars Technica) likewise report the Pixel 11 lineup and preorders on 2026-08-12. These corroborating reports establish that at least one consumer product whose official product name contains the sequence "Pixel 11" was publicly announced by that date.
Quelle: blog.googleQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenIs this a trick question? "It's not the Pixel 11, it's the Google Pixel 11! So it doesn't count!"
With just over a week left, Google has a solid track record of announcing new Pixel products by August. I'm betting they’ll deliver on the Pixel 11. Expect an announcement soon.

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