Will Missouri use the Republican-backed congressional map for ballots in the November general election?

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YES if, no later than 12:00 AM Eastern Time on September 23, 2026, the most recent publicly released Arizona Governor poll that reports two-way percentages for Katie Hobbs and Andy Biggs shows Katie Hobbs with a strictly higher published percentage than Andy Biggs. Otherwise NO. Prefer VoteHub's Arizona Governor poll listing as the primary source, but the applicable poll may also be confirmed from the pollster's published release or mainstream news reproducing the two-way Hobbs vs Biggs percentages. If the most recent poll listed on VoteHub does not include both named candidates, ignore that poll and use the next-most-recent publicly released Arizona Governor poll that does include both. If no publicly released poll that includes both candidates exists by the cutoff, the market resolves NO. If the applicable poll reports identical percentages for Hobbs and Biggs, the market resolves NO. If more than one applicable poll is tied for recency, use the poll VoteHub displays as most recent. If VoteHub is unavailable, use the poll with the latest fieldwork end date, then the later publication datetime, then the larger sample size as successive tiebreakers.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenDie Vorhersagen enden am 22. Sept. 2026, und der Markt wird voraussichtlich am 23. Sept. 2026 aufgelöst. Das Ergebnis wird anhand von votehub.com entschieden. Aktuell setzt die Community JA bei 30 %, basierend auf 13 Vorhersagen.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenQuellen zur Erstellung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenWith Hobbs currently leading Biggs 39% to 38% in the latest poll, it's likely she'll maintain that edge as we approach September 22. Expect her to be ahead then.

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35%
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56%
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49%
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57%
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