Will Anthropic's market share be above 2.6%?

48%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

9%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 16. Aug.The market would resolve to yes only if OpenAI's official status page shows the finalized daily status box for August 12, 2026 marked as "Partial/Full Outage" (red) and that box explicitly lists ChatGPT under affected components, with yellow or degraded-performance boxes not qualifying. The mirrored Polymarket market on the same question closed with Yes=0 and No=1, which Polymarket treats as an official no. Because this market was defined to follow that Polymarket resolution, the required red status box naming ChatGPT did not occur for August 12, 2026, so the market resolves to no.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden9%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 91 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Extracted condition: the market resolves YES only if OpenAI's finalized daily status box for 2026-08-12 (ET) is marked Partial/Full Outage (red) and explicitly lists 'ChatGPT' under Affected components. The rule text additionally states this market resolves identically to the official resolution of the mirrored Polymarket market. Target date/window: 2026-08-12 (ET). Observed data matched: the supplied Polymarket official market state shows the mirrored market 'ChatGPT outage on August 12, 2026?' is resolved (closed) with outcome prices Yes=0, No=1 — which per the provided Polymarket guidance indicates the official resolution is No. Comparison and conclusion: because the rule requires identical resolution to Polymarket and Polymarket resolved to No, this market resolves NO. Decisive evidence date is the date the question concerns (2026-08-12).
Quelle: clutch.vipQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden
48%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

63%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

71%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

83%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

79%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

52%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
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