Will Russia publicly announce a new general or partial military mobilization?

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Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 6. Aug.Resolves YES if the U.S. Department of Defense or U.S. Central Command publishes an official press release or statement by 11:59 PM Eastern on August 5, 2026 explicitly saying that Iran or Iran‑backed militias launched a missile, rocket, or unmanned aerial vehicle (drone) attack that struck or impacted U.S. forces or U.S. positions in the Middle East during July 29–August 5, 2026. Otherwise NO. Unofficial media reports or social posts do not count, and unless that DOD or CENTCOM statement is later corrected, that official statement decides the outcome.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden72%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 72 % sicher und lag daneben.
Warum: Multiple independent, credible outlets in the supplied evidence (CNN, Reuters, NPR) report that Iran launched ballistic missiles toward U.S. forces around July 28–29 but that CENTCOM/Jordanian air defenses intercepted the missiles (reports state “all” or multiple missiles were intercepted) with no immediate reports of casualties or damage to U.S. forces. The supplied pages also describe related attacks that hit non-military targets (e.g., a U.S.-owned tanker) or strikes on Iran-backed militias, but none of the provided sources report any missile, rocket, or drone attack between 2026-07-29 and 2026-08-05 that struck or impacted U.S. forces or U.S. military positions in the Middle East. Given the consistent, corroborated reporting in the supplied evidence that the relevant Iranian-launched missiles were intercepted and no supplied source documents an impact on U.S. forces during the date window, the market settles NO.
Quelle: cnn.comQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenabsolutely yes. the middle east has never been a peaceful place, so prepare for some fireworks! 🎆

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