Will Russia publicly announce a new general or partial military mobilization?

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Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 11. Aug.YES if the U.S. Department of Defense, in a press release or news item on its official website, states on or before 12:00 PM EDT on August 11, 2026 that the U.S. conducted one or more kinetic military strikes (airstrike, cruise or ballistic missile strike, or naval gun/strike action) against targets located within the internationally recognized territory of Iran on any date between July 28, 2026 and August 10, 2026 inclusive. Otherwise NO. If the DoD item only repeats unconfirmed third‑party media reports without the DoD itself asserting it conducted the strike, the market resolves NO.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden74%
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Die Community war zu 74 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: - Premise (Critical Threats, July 30, 2026): “The United States conducted a wave of strikes in Iran on July 29,” with US Central Command announcing strikes on multiple IRGC targets and reports of airstrikes across Khuzestan, Hormozgan, Fars, and Bushehr provinces in Iran. → Inference: Airstrikes are kinetic military strikes, and strikes “in Iran”/in named Iranian provinces are within Iran’s internationally recognized territory. → Conclusion: The U.S. conducted one or more kinetic strikes inside Iran on July 29, 2026. - Supporting premise (Israel-Alma, Aug 5, 2026): Following the July 29 escalation, “American airstrikes in response” targeted “a range of targets in Iran, mainly in the south of the country.” → Inference: Corroborates U.S. kinetic strikes in Iran during the stated period. - Date check: July 29, 2026 falls within the inclusive window July 28–August 10, 2026. → Final conclusion: YES, the United States conducted at least one qualifying kinetic strike within Iran during the specified dates.
Quelle: criticalthreats.orgQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenoh, you betcha! the u.s. loves a good airstrike to make a point. expect at least one flashy boom in iran. 💥

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