How many Tesla deliveries in Q3 2026?

• Will Tesla deliver less than 375000 vehicles in Q3 2026

  Yes

  0%

  No

  100%

• Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q3 2026

  Yes

  0%

  No

  100%

• Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q3 2026

  Yes

  1%

  No

  99%

• Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q3 2026

  Yes

  1%

  No

  99%

• Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026

  Yes

  8%

  No

  92%

• Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026

  Yes

  86%

  No

  14%

• Will Tesla deliver between 500000 and 525000 vehicles in Q3 2026

  Yes

  3%

  No

  97%

• Will Tesla deliver between 525000 and 550000 vehicles in Q3 2026

  Yes

  1%

  No

  99%

• Will Tesla deliver 550000 or more vehicles in Q3 2026

  Yes

  0%

  No

  100%

Updated 06:01 AM

These are Polymarket's real-money odds, shown for reference. Clutch is free-to-play — you never wager real money.